Showing posts with label default. Show all posts
Showing posts with label default. Show all posts

Thursday, March 31, 2011

Government Debt Isn't Rational

When comparing the debt of various governments and taking into consideration the debt-to-GDP ratio, one would rationally assume that Japan would have defaulted on it's sovereign debt by now. The reason is that their debt-to-GDP ratio is one of the highest at a whopping 200%.

But this is another display of non-rational, emotion-driven markets, since it's not the actual ability to repay that matters in the near term -- it's the perception of the ability to repay.

For the rest of this article, click here. For the Elliott Wave Principle, click here.